All markets
Chance5%
Market price4.75¢
Estimated CostN/A
Slippage
8%
Max slippage only affects market orders placed from the order form. Limit orders rest at your chosen price.
Fees0.0000% / 0.0000%
Market Rules
The market resolves to Yes if the BTC price is above 100,000 at Oct 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC, and otherwise resolves to No. Settlement is according to the 1-second TWAP of BTC-USDC mark price ending at Oct 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC. If BTC is delisted before this market settles, settlement is instead according to the BTC settlement price at delisting.
Yes and No share one merged book — a bid on Yes at p is an ask on No at 1 − p. Fully collateralized, settles in USDC. Coins: #12100, #12101
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