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BTC touches 100,000 by Oct 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC

RulesOct 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Volume
$18,100
Yes chance
5%
Chance6%
0%10%20%12 AM12 AM12 AM12 AM12 AM

Order Book

Yes
PriceSharesTotal
99¢22,727$22,670
21¢100$170
13¢42$149
10¢91$143
197$134
122$117
354$107
1,367$82
Spread
5,758$288
3,618$433
26,010$693
5,509$693
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Market Rules

The market resolves to Yes if the BTC price touches 100,000 at or before Oct 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC, and otherwise resolves to No. The price counts as touched once the 1-second TWAP of BTC-USDC mark price equals or crosses 100,000 at any time after this market is deployed and at or before Oct 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC; the market can settle as soon as a touch occurs. If BTC is delisted before this market settles, the BTC settlement price at delisting counts as the final price for the touch determination, and the market can settle at delisting if the price has not touched 100,000 by then.

Yes and No share one merged book — a bid on Yes at p is an ask on No at 1 − p. Fully collateralized, settles in USDC. Coins: #12110, #12111

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