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BTC touches 90,000 by Oct 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC

RulesOct 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Volume
$27,695
Yes chance
37%
Chance38%
0%10%20%30%40%50%12 AM12 AM12 AM12 AM12 AM

Order Book

Yes
PriceSharesTotal
48¢500$1,095
44¢300$855
43¢200$723
42¢100$637
41¢200$595
40¢100$513
39¢419$473
38¢815$310
Spread
37¢1,254$464
36¢167$524
35¢200$594
34¢100$628
33¢339$740
32¢267$825
31¢300$918
30¢9$921
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Market Rules

The market resolves to Yes if the BTC price touches 90,000 at or before Oct 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC, and otherwise resolves to No. The price counts as touched once the 1-second TWAP of BTC-USDC mark price equals or crosses 90,000 at any time after this market is deployed and at or before Oct 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC; the market can settle as soon as a touch occurs. If BTC is delisted before this market settles, the BTC settlement price at delisting counts as the final price for the touch determination, and the market can settle at delisting if the price has not touched 90,000 by then.

Yes and No share one merged book — a bid on Yes at p is an ask on No at 1 − p. Fully collateralized, settles in USDC. Coins: #12130, #12131

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