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BTC touches 85,000 by Oct 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC

RulesOct 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Volume
$48,718
Yes chance
65%
Chance65%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%12 AM12 AM12 AM12 AM12 AM

Order Book

Yes
PriceSharesTotal
100¢68,805$83,030
98¢12,000$14,225
91¢1,846$2,465
74¢28$785
69¢78$765
66¢1,077$711
Spread
65¢888$577
64¢310$776
63¢75$823
62¢22$836
61¢628$1,220
60¢727$1,656
58¢340$1,853
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Market Rules

The market resolves to Yes if the BTC price touches 85,000 at or before Oct 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC, and otherwise resolves to No. The price counts as touched once the 1-second TWAP of BTC-USDC mark price equals or crosses 85,000 at any time after this market is deployed and at or before Oct 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC; the market can settle as soon as a touch occurs. If BTC is delisted before this market settles, the BTC settlement price at delisting counts as the final price for the touch determination, and the market can settle at delisting if the price has not touched 85,000 by then.

Yes and No share one merged book — a bid on Yes at p is an ask on No at 1 − p. Fully collateralized, settles in USDC. Coins: #12140, #12141

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