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BTC touches 77,500 by Nov 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC

RulesNov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
24h volume
$17,504
Yes chance
46%
Chance47%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%12 AM12 AM12 AM12 AM12 AM

Order Book

Yes
PriceSharesTotal
65¢712$1,812
64¢687$1,349
63¢664$909
58¢150$491
56¢90$404
52¢52$353
48¢163$326
47¢528$248
1¢Spread
46¢915$421
45¢2,488$1,541
44¢151$1,607
43¢789$1,946
42¢593$2,195
39¢150$2,254
37¢55$2,274
15¢7$2,275
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Market Rules

The market resolves to Yes if the BTC price touches 77,500 at or before Nov 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC, and otherwise resolves to No. The price counts as touched once the 3-second TWAP of BTC-USDC perp mark price equals or crosses 77,500 at any time after this market is deployed and at or before Nov 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC; the market can settle as soon as a touch occurs. If BTC is delisted before this market settles, the BTC settlement price at delisting counts as the final price for the touch determination, and the market can settle at delisting if the price has not touched 77,500 by then.

Yes and No share one merged book — a bid on Yes at p is an ask on No at 1 − p. Fully collateralized, settles in USDC. Coins: #71770, #71771

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